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COLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM, INC. (COLB)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 delivered broad-based operational improvement: GAAP EPS rose to $0.73 (operating $0.76), net interest margin expanded 15 bps to 3.75%, and operating efficiency improved to 51.79% as core fee income increased and operating expenses were flat versus Q1 on a like-for-like basis .
  • Balance sheet quality and capital strengthened: TBV/share increased 3% q/q to $18.47, CET1 rose to 10.8% and Total RBC to 13.0% while ACL/loans stayed at 1.17% and NCOs were stable at 0.31% annualized .
  • Seasonality drove deposit contraction (-$0.48B q/q) and higher wholesale funding (+$0.8B); management highlighted deposit pricing discipline (IB deposit cost flat at 2.52%) and noted Q3 could see a small NIM lift from a full-quarter benefit of higher bond yields, with NIM still most sensitive to deposit flows .
  • PPBI merger progressing: both shareholder votes cleared and close could be as early as Sept 1; teams are preparing balance sheet actions (e.g., net sale ~$500mm of PPBI bonds post-close) to optimize pro forma NIM and asset sensitivity—an evident stock catalyst alongside seasonal Q3 deposit growth and potential capital return flexibility post-integration .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin and earnings power improved: NIM expanded 15 bps to 3.75% on higher loan and securities yields with flat funding costs; GAAP EPS $0.73 and operating EPS $0.76, with operating PPNR up 14% q/q—“textbook” operating leverage per CFO .
  • Core fee momentum and expense discipline: Operating non-interest income rose $8mm q/q on cards, wealth and treasury, while operating non-interest expense held essentially flat q/q, driving an operating efficiency ratio of 51.79% .
  • Strategic execution: CEO cited focus on profitability and balance sheet optimization; commercial growth offset runoff in transactional portfolios and the bank opened 3 new branches while preparing to close PPBI—“laser focused on top-quartile performance” .

What Went Wrong

  • Deposits fell $0.48B q/q on seasonal tax payments, debt paydowns and migration to wealth products; borrowings rose $0.8B to fund securities purchases and deposit outflows .
  • Non-interest income (GAAP) dipped $2mm q/q from fair value/MSR hedge swings; provision increased modestly to $29mm as credit migration and economic assumptions evolved .
  • Competitive pricing persists in spots (some >4% offers), requiring ongoing tactical rate management; multifamily and other transactional portfolios continue to contract, tempering net loan growth despite stronger originations .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Interest Income ($mm)$427.449 $424.995 $446.446
Non-Interest Income ($mm)$44.703 $66.377 $64.462
Revenue (GAAP) ($mm)$472.152 $491.372 $510.908
Non-Interest Expense ($mm)$279.244 $340.122 $277.995
PPNR ($mm)$192.908 $151.250 $232.913
Operating PPNR ($mm)$219.390 $211.833 $242.126
Diluted EPS ($)$0.57 $0.41 $0.73
Operating Diluted EPS ($)$0.67 $0.67 $0.76
Net Interest Margin (%)3.56% 3.60% 3.75%
Efficiency Ratio (%)59.02% 69.06% 54.29%
ROAA (%)0.93% 0.68% 1.19%
ROATCE (%)14.55% 9.45% 16.03%

Balance Sheet and Mix

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Assets ($B)$52.0 $51.5 $51.9
Loans & Leases ($B)$37.7 $37.6 $37.6
Deposits ($B)$41.5 $42.2 $41.7
Avg NIB Deposits / Avg Total Deposits (%)32.54% 31.75% 31.39%
Cost of Interest-Bearing Deposits (%)2.97% 2.52% 2.52%
Book Value/Share ($)$23.76 $24.93 $25.41
Tangible BV/Share ($)$16.26 $17.86 $18.47

Credit & Capital KPIs

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Provision for Credit Losses ($mm)$31.820 $27.403 $29.449
Net Charge-Offs (annualized, % of avg loans)0.32% 0.32% 0.31%
NPAs / Assets (%)0.30% 0.35% 0.35%
ACL / Loans & Leases (%)1.16% 1.17% 1.17%
CET1 Ratio (%)10.0% 10.6% 10.8%
Total RBC Ratio (%)12.2% 12.9% 13.0%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Operating non-interest expense (ex CDI amort.)FY 2025$1.00–$1.01B (Q1 call) Reiterated for 2025 (no Q2 change) Maintained
Operating tax rateFY 2025Mid-25% (Q1 call) Mid-25% (no update in Q2) Maintained
NIM qualitative outlookQ3 2025Expect slight lift into Q3 from full-quarter investment yields; NIM still most sensitive to deposit flows New qualitative color
PPBI closing timing2H 20252H 2025 (announcement) As soon as Sept 1, 2025 pending approvals Pulled forward (earlier)
DividendOngoing$0.36 declared Feb 14, paid Mar 17 (Q1) $0.36 declared May 16, paid Jun 16 (Q2) Maintained run-rate

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/TechnologyFocus on tech stack; new business online banking; 2025 plans incl. real-time payments, analytics Continued tech investment commentary “83 platforms using AI”; dedicated teams for current AI use cases and fintech partnerships Increasing scope and emphasis
Tariffs/MacroBusiness Barometer: tariffs a top-3 concern; many plan to stockpile inventory CEO: uncertainty around tariffs elongating pipelines; mixed customer appetite Headwind monitored
Deposit pricing/flowsDeposit cost cut ~50 bps from June to Dec; NIM up 8 bps Seasonal Q1 outflows and wholesale increases expected IB deposit cost flat at 2.52%; seasonal declines in Q2; some competitive >4% offers Costs stabilizing; seasonal pattern restored
PPBI integrationDeal announced; 30% cost saves from PPBI; 2H close targeted Shareholders approved; close as soon as Sept 1; plan post-close bond sales/optimization Accelerating to close
Balance sheet optimizationIdentified optimization opportunities and transactional runoff plan Continue to let transactional portfolios wind down Reaffirmed: runoff or reprice over 2025–2028; avoid hard-coding losses On track

Management Commentary

  • “Our second quarter results demonstrate our focus on profitability and balance sheet optimization… NIM benefited from loan repricing, controlled deposit pricing, and a rebound in securities yields… Continued expense discipline further supported our strong performance.” – Clint Stein, CEO .
  • “NIM increased 15 bps to 3.75%… higher investment securities yields provided over half the expansion; higher loan yields added ~5 bps; lower funding costs ~1 bp.” – Ron Farnsworth, CFO .
  • “We are not losing ground on AI… 83 different platforms and solutions that use a form of AI… one group running current solutions and another focused on fintech partnerships and longer-term opportunities.” – Clint Stein, CEO .
  • “We anticipate closing [the PPBI acquisition] as soon as September 1, 2025, pending regulatory approvals.” – Company press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • Loan growth and originations: Commercial production rose ~30% q/q and ~18% y/y; growth reflects banker productivity and market share gains, though sales, paydowns and prepayments mute net balance expansion .
  • Deposit pricing strategy: Teams proactively managing rates amid episodic >4% offers; CD specials around ~3.75% 7-month as maturities reprice; overall IB deposit cost remained at 2.52% .
  • Margin outlook: June NIM was ~3.79% (timing-adjusted); expect slight Q3 lift from full-quarter securities yields, with NIM primarily dependent on deposit flows; wholesale funding used short-term pre-close .
  • PPBI pro forma optimization: Added ~$600mm par of discounted bonds in April to reduce pro forma asset sensitivity; plan to net sell ~$500mm of PPBI bonds post-close to pay down wholesale funding .
  • Transactional portfolios: Intend to run off/reprice ~$6B of transactional assets over time rather than sell at a long earn-back; improves profitability mix even if balances stay muted .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q2 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our feed at the time of analysis; as a result, we benchmark results versus prior quarter and prior year and highlight directionally positive surprises (NIM expansion, operating leverage) and execution on fee growth and expense discipline [GetEstimates: Q2 2025 returned no data].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating leverage inflection: Margin expansion, core fee growth and flat operating expense produced a strong step-up in operating PPNR; watch for a modest NIM tailwind in Q3 from full-quarter securities yields, with deposit flows still the key swing factor .
  • Deposit discipline intact: IB deposit cost held at 2.52% amidst seasonality; pricing discipline and fewer exceptions remain a lever to protect NIM as rates evolve .
  • Credit stable and well-reserved: NCOs ~0.31%; ACL/loans 1.17%; NPAs 0.35%—levels consistent with through-cycle underwriting; FinPac losses trending lower .
  • Capital accretion supports flexibility: TBV/share rose to $18.47; CET1 10.8% and Total RBC 13.0% provide capacity for balance sheet optimization and, post-PPBI, potential capital return .
  • PPBI closing as early as Sept 1 is a visible catalyst: Expect cost synergies and fee verticals (custodial trust, HOA, escrow/1031) to enhance revenue mix; pro forma balance sheet actions should support NIM and sensitivity .
  • Near-term trading setup: Seasonal Q3 deposit growth plus incremental NIM lift could drive estimate revisions; watch regulatory progress for PPBI and any updated post-close capital return commentary .
  • Medium-term thesis: Continued remix away from transactional real estate and toward full-relationship C&I plus fee lines, with disciplined pricing and tech/AI-enabled productivity, aims at top-quartile profitability post-integration .

Additional details and sources: Q2 2025 press release and financial tables ; Q2 2025 earnings call transcript ; Q1 2025 press release and call ; Q4 2024 press release and call ; PPBI transaction announcements and approvals ; Dividend declaration ; Umpqua Business Barometer context .